LOCK OF THE WEEK:SAN DIEGO (+0.5) @ Buffalo
San Diego is heating up after beating down the Patriots in prime time last week. LT has averaged 114 yards rushing/game in 3 career matchups vs. Buffalo and I expect to see a lot more of that. Trent Edwards is coming back for his first game since his concussion and I see him turning the ball over at least a couple of times against the aggressive Chargers secondary.
REST OF WEEK 7:
1pm Games
CHICAGO (-3.5) vs. Minnesota
Kyle Orton and his receivers have continued to go above expectations and will do so again at home against a suspect Vikings defense. Additionally, the Vikings continue to disappoint with last week's narrow home victory of the Lions.
PITTSBURGH (-9.5) @ Cincinnati
Whether its Parker or Moore starting at RB for the Steelers they will have a huge game on the ground. Cinncy is without starting QB Palmer and with the season already lost, have nothing left to play for.
TENNESSEE (-7.5) @ Kansas City
The only remaining undefeated team vs. the most pathetic team in the NFL. hmmmmmm. tough one. Big day on the ground for Titans two RBs.
NEW ORLEANS (+3.5) @ Carolina
The Saints offense will be firing on all cylinders with the return of Colston to an already potent lineup. This will free up Bush for a big day and I expect a high-scoring shootout. Consider the over in this game as well.
DALLAS (-6.5) @ St. Louis
Despite the issues at QB and the distractions that Pacman brings, the Cowboys are too good a team to not put up more points than the Rams can handle. Love the over in this one as well.
MIAMI (-2.5) vs. Baltimore
I don't expect the Ravens to put up more than 10 points. They are led by a rookie QB (Flacco) and rely heavily on a running game. Problem for them is that the Fish are 5th in run defense and have won their last 3 games ATS. This one borders on LOCK status. The low O/U of 35 deserves a look as well.
SAN FRANCISCO (+10.5) @ New York Giants
49ers will be able to put up enough points to a Giants team that suddenly looks like they are back down to Earth after the beat down the Browns handed the.
4pm games
HOUSTON (-8.5) vs. Detroit
Not much here to say except that Detroit sucks. a lot. really bad. Has anyone ever heard of Dan Orlovsky before last week? didn't think so. next game...
NEW YORK JETS (-3.5) @ Oakland
Owner Al Davis has ruined this team for the season with his firing of Kiffen. Someone needs to feed that guy his soup so he doesn't get so cranky. or change him. or something. Either way, the Jets have started to put points on the board as Favre starts to get more comfortable and Thomas Jones came out of hibernation last week. Blowout here.
CLEVELAND (+7.5) @ Washington
Cleveland just beat the previously undefeated Super Bowl champs by 21 points and the Redskins lost to the Rams by 2 at home. Am I missing something here? Take the Browns who will not lose by more than a TD.
INDIANAPOLIS (-1.5) @ Green Bay
Lambeau Field just doesn't have the same intimidation factor when Aaron Rodgers and his sore shoulder are running the show. Colts offense looks to be fine (with or without the overrated Addai). Indy takes this one big.
8pm game
TAMPA BAY (-10.5) vs. Seattle
Bucs at home this year are a dominant team with that defense and a ball-control offense. Additionally, the Bucs are 5-0 since opening week ATS. Seattle's only win this year came against St. Louis. I give the Hawks as much of a chance in this game as I do of my Grandmother knocking out Mike Tyson.
Monday Night
NEW ENGLAND (-3.5) vs. Denver
Oh those tricky Pats. This season they have been up-down-up-down. Well...its time for an up week. This in combination with the weak Broncos defense and the pride that these veteran players will show after last week's embarrassing prime-time loss have all signs pointing to New England. Oh, and don't get caught up in all the hype for the over. Broncos offense has slowed the last two weeks and this year's Patriots can't put them up like they used to.
LOCK OF THE WEEK RECORD TO DATE: 5-1
SEASON PICKS RECORD TO DATE: 55-33
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