TENNESSEE (-11.5) @ Detroit
Worst record in the league vs. the best record in the league. Can we please just stop for a moment and give the schedule makers a round of applause for making our Holiday so much fun?! Those assholes. The image to the right is not only our favorite Thanksgiving feast, but also my opinion of the schedule-makers.
OK, to the game. Despite last week humbling to the Jets, the Titans remain 9-1 ATS the spread this season and that includes a perfect 5-0 record ATS on the road. Meanwhile, the Lions are still the Lions. Specifically, they are 0-5 ATS the spread at home. Easy pick here and expect the Titans to control possession of the ball for about 40 minutes with their strong running game.
4:15 game:
DALLAS (-12.5) vs. Seattle
Seems as though the Cowboys have finally gotten things rolling with Tony Romo back at the helm. Last week's game against the 49ers wasn't a complete laugher only after San Fran scored two late and meaningless TDs. I expect to see the home team put on a good show for the fans and strengthen their playoff position against a team with nothing left to play for. The only thing that will stop the 'Boys is if Jessica Simpson puts on a bad pre-game show and Romo misses the game consoling her.
8:15 game:
PHILADELPHIA (-2.5) vs. Arizona
Fools Gold Alert! Everyone's reaction to this game is that the Cardinals should be able to control it because of their superior record and Philadelphia's recent struggles. However, the stats don't lie and this season West Coast teams are a combined 0-15 when playing in an Eastern Time Zone. Specifically, the last time Arizona went east, they lost 35-56 and gave up 6 TD passes to Brett Favre's corpse. Especially with the short week I would expect the travel to be even more of a factor. Also, the Cardinals have not won a game (or covered a spread) against a team with a .500 or better record in a month and a half.
Other Advice:
Short weeks tend to favor the offesnse. I would seriously consider the overs in all these games. Every week that there has been a Thursday game this season (with the exception of week one which doesn't count because it isn't a short week of preparation) the Over has been the winning bet.
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